EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) |
DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION |
issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP |
8 July 2010 |
"ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Watch |
Synopsis: La Niña conditions are likely to develop during July - August 2010. During June 2010, sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continued to decrease across the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with negative anomalies expanding across the central and eastern Pacific (Fig. 1). While the rate of decrease slowed during June, all of the Niño indices were cooler compared to the previous month (Fig. 2). ............ Collectively, these oceanic and atmospheric anomalies reflect developing La Niña conditions. . The majority of models now predict La Niña conditions (SST anomalies less than or equal to -0.5oC in the Niño-3.4 region) to develop during June-August and to continue through early 2011 (Fig. 6). ..........." |
note to readers: there are a bunch of these ocean cycles that could influence the weather on land but they cannot possibly influence climate since that can only happen from human activities
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